Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.21) 1.21 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.8% 28.3% 38.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Carpi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventus U23 0 10.0% 12.1% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.9% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventus U23Athletic Carpi
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack40%70%
Defense70%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventus U23 Athletic Carpi
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%20%32%30%56%42%
Draws11%50%32%50%0%26%
Loses44%30%37%20%44%32%

Form: Juventus U23: DWDLWWLLWLLLWLDWDDD • Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLLWWDLWWLWWDLD

League goals

Metric Juventus U23 Athletic Carpi
HATHAT
GF total101121131023
GF avg1.11.11.11.31.11.2
GA total111223121123
GA avg1.21.21.21.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventus U23Athletic Carpi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%74%84%68%
1.537%21%32%32%
2.55%16%5%16%
3.50%11%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventus U23Athletic Carpi
HATHAT
Clean sheets325246
Failed to score336123

Penalties

MetricJuventus U23Athletic Carpi
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricJuventus U23Athletic Carpi
Wins22
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-01-3
Biggest losses2-44-20-34-2
Goals For2323
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricJuventus U23Athletic Carpi
Form47%53%
Att36%64%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Juventus U23 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betfair
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Juventus U23 = 1.09 (league 1.21), Athletic Carpi = 1.21 (league 1.09)

Athletic Carpi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventus U23 0 10.0% 12.1% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.9% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.8% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 38.7%

vtt 4 , vtd1