Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Libero Liberati
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.21) 0.33 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.2% 18.0% 5.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
19.5%
3 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Livorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana 0 10.4% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.1% 6.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.5% 6.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTernanaLivorno
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack35%47%
Defense82%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ternana Livorno
HATHAT
Played9101910818
Wins56%30%42%40%13%28%
Draws22%50%37%30%13%22%
Loses22%20%21%30%75%50%

Form: Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWDDDDWLWWD • Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWLLLDWDWD

League goals

Metric Ternana Livorno
HATHAT
GF total12122413316
GF avg1.31.21.31.30.40.9
GA total8917131427
GA avg0.90.90.91.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTernanaLivorno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%68%56%78%
1.537%16%28%50%
2.511%5%6%22%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTernanaLivorno
HATHAT
Clean sheets336224
Failed to score145358

Penalties

MetricTernanaLivorno
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricTernanaLivorno
Wins21
Draws41
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-10-1
Biggest losses0-21-00-33-0
Goals For2431
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricTernanaLivorno
Form53%47%
Att43%57%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total61.3%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Ternana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away4.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ternana = 1.94 (league 1.21), Livorno = 0.33 (league 1.10)

Livorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana 0 10.4% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.1% 6.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.5% 6.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.2% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 5.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1