Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.22)
1.47 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 25.4% | 67.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
25.2%
0 - 2
18.5%
0 - 0
17.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Ascoli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pianese | 0 | 17.2% | 25.2% | 18.5% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pianese | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 40% |
| Defense | 70% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pianese | Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 40% | 22% | 32% | 50% | 56% | 53% |
| Draws | 30% | 56% | 42% | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Loses | 30% | 22% | 26% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
Form: Pianese: DLWDDLWWLDLDWLWDWDD • Ascoli: DWDWWWWWWDWLDWLDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Pianese | Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 12 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pianese | Ascoli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 58% | 68% | 32% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 21% | 42% | 5% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 5% | 26% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pianese | Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pianese | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pianese | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pianese | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ascoli and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pianese = 0.29 (league 1.22), Ascoli = 1.47 (league 1.06)
| Ascoli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pianese | 0 | 17.2% | 25.2% | 18.5% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.2% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 67.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1