Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Renato Curi
Match Finished
1 - 1

Bra

Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.22) 0.75 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.3% 25.4% 17.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Bra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 10.0% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 11.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.0% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerugiaBra
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack64%55%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perugia Bra
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins30%10%20%27%11%20%
Draws20%40%30%45%22%35%
Loses50%50%50%27%67%45%

Form: Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLWDDDWLLLWW • Bra: LDLDLLWLLDDWLLWDWLDD

League goals

Metric Perugia Bra
HATHAT
GF total10102014822
GF avg1.01.01.01.30.91.1
GA total91726131730
GA avg0.91.71.31.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerugiaBra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%80%75%85%
1.535%40%35%45%
2.55%10%0%15%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerugiaBra
HATHAT
Clean sheets404303
Failed to score549235

Penalties

MetricPerugiaBra
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPerugiaBra
Wins11
Draws32
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-22-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-34-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricPerugiaBra
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Perugia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Dafabet
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away5.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Perugia = 1.56 (league 1.22), Bra = 0.75 (league 1.09)

Bra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 10.0% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 11.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.0% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 17.8%

vtt 5 , vtd1