Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.20) 0.44 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 29.6% 12.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.0%
0 - 0
18.1%
2 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascoli 0 18.1% 7.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 10.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.7% 6.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAscoliTernana
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack40%47%
Defense67%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ascoli Ternana
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins50%50%50%60%30%45%
Draws40%30%35%20%50%35%
Loses10%20%15%20%20%20%

Form: Ascoli: DWDWWWWWWDWLDWLDWDDL • Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWDDDDWLWWDW

League goals

Metric Ascoli Ternana
HATHAT
GF total171431141226
GF avg1.71.41.61.41.21.3
GA total47119918
GA avg0.40.70.60.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAscoliTernana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%35%75%70%
1.545%10%40%15%
2.525%5%10%5%
3.510%5%5%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAscoliTernana
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613336
Failed to score426145

Penalties

MetricAscoliTernana
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAscoliTernana
Wins62
Draws24
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-32-01-4
Biggest losses0-24-20-21-0
Goals For5324
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricAscoliTernana
Form38%63%
Att46%54%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total52.0%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Ascoli or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Superbet
Away3.40 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ascoli = 1.27 (league 1.20), Ternana = 0.44 (league 1.10)

Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascoli 0 18.1% 7.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 10.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.7% 6.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 12.7%

vtt 23 , vtd1