Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Sandro Cabassi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.22) 0.66 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.4% 40.0% 30.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.2%
0 - 1
18.0%
1 - 0
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pianese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 27.2% 18.0% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 11.5% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic CarpiPianese
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack45%55%
Defense27%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Carpi Pianese
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins30%50%40%45%22%35%
Draws50%0%25%27%56%40%
Loses20%50%35%27%22%25%

Form: Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLLWWDLWWLWWDLDL • Pianese: DLWDDLWWLDLDWLWDWDDW

League goals

Metric Athletic Carpi Pianese
HATHAT
GF total13102316521
GF avg1.31.01.21.50.61.1
GA total12132514519
GA avg1.21.31.31.30.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic CarpiPianese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%60%60%
1.530%35%30%25%
2.55%15%10%5%
3.50%5%5%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic CarpiPianese
HATHAT
Clean sheets246358
Failed to score134358

Penalties

MetricAthletic CarpiPianese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAthletic CarpiPianese
Wins22
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-20-2
Biggest losses0-34-22-42-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricAthletic CarpiPianese
Form36%64%
Att45%55%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pianese and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away4.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Carpi = 0.64 (league 1.22), Pianese = 0.66 (league 1.09)

Pianese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 27.2% 18.0% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 11.5% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 40.0% · Away win 30.6%

vtt 3 , vtd1