Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 19:30 • Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.22) 1.01 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.1% 32.5% 39.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.5%
0 - 0
16.3%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pineto 0 16.3% 16.5% 8.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.2% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPinetoGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack64%45%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pineto Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins40%40%40%30%50%40%
Draws30%40%35%40%20%30%
Loses30%20%25%30%30%30%

Form: Pineto: DWDWLLLLWWDDWWDLDDWW • Guidonia Montecelio 1937: DLWLWWLLWWDWWLDWDDDL

League goals

Metric Pineto Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
GF total14142871017
GF avg1.41.41.40.71.00.9
GA total1112237714
GA avg1.11.21.20.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePinetoGuidonia Montecelio 1937
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%65%70%45%
1.535%30%15%25%
2.515%20%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPinetoGuidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Clean sheets4376511
Failed to score112426

Penalties

MetricPinetoGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricPinetoGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Wins22
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-22-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricPinetoGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Form57%43%
Att58%42%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Pineto or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 10Bet
Draw3.00 @ Dafabet
Away3.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pineto = 0.80 (league 1.22), Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = 1.01 (league 1.09)

Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pineto 0 16.3% 16.5% 8.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.2% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.1% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 39.4%

vtt 5 , vtd2