Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:30 • Stadio Armando Picchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.23) 1.32 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 26.4% 37.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Juventus U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 7.5% 9.9% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.6% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLivornoJuventus U23
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack73%45%
Defense45%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Livorno Juventus U23
HATHAT
Played10919101020
Wins40%11%26%50%20%35%
Draws30%11%21%10%50%30%
Loses30%78%53%40%30%35%

Form: Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWLLLDWDWDL • Juventus U23: DWDLWWLLWLLLWLDWDDDW

League goals

Metric Livorno Juventus U23
HATHAT
GF total13417121123
GF avg1.30.40.91.21.11.2
GA total131629111223
GA avg1.31.81.51.11.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLivornoJuventus U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%79%70%70%
1.526%53%40%20%
2.55%21%5%15%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLivornoJuventus U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score358336

Penalties

MetricLivornoJuventus U23
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricLivornoJuventus U23
Wins12
Draws13
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-02-44-2
Goals For3123
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricLivornoJuventus U23
Form47%53%
Att62%38%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h13%88%
Goals18%82%
Total35.7%64.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Juventus U23

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away3.25 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Livorno = 1.27 (league 1.23), Juventus U23 = 1.32 (league 1.08)

Juventus U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 7.5% 9.9% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.6% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 37.7%

vtt 4 , vtd1