Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:30 • Tonino Benelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.21) 0.87 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.5% 36.6% 39.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.0%
0 - 1
20.1%
1 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Arezzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vis Pesaro 0 23.0% 20.1% 8.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 12.0% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVis PesaroArezzo
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack45%73%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vis Pesaro Arezzo
HATHAT
Played101020101121
Wins40%20%30%80%64%71%
Draws50%50%50%10%27%19%
Loses10%30%20%10%9%10%

Form: Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDDWDWDWLDDWWL • Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWWWLDDWW

League goals

Metric Vis Pesaro Arezzo
HATHAT
GF total91120182139
GF avg0.91.11.01.81.91.9
GA total511167916
GA avg0.51.10.80.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVis PesaroArezzo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%55%90%52%
1.525%20%48%19%
2.55%5%33%5%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVis PesaroArezzo
HATHAT
Clean sheets6395510
Failed to score426112

Penalties

MetricVis PesaroArezzo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total17

Streaks

MetricVis PesaroArezzo
Wins25
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-10-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-12-1
Goals For3254
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricVis PesaroArezzo
Form50%50%
Att38%62%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arezzo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away2.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vis Pesaro = 0.60 (league 1.21), Arezzo = 0.87 (league 1.09)

Arezzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vis Pesaro 0 23.0% 20.1% 8.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 12.0% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 36.6% · Away win 39.8%

vtt 5 , vtd1