Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Armando Picchi
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.23) 1.42 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.8% 26.2% 42.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Vis Pesaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 7.5% 10.7% 7.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.5% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.1% 7.3% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLivornoVis Pesaro
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack80%40%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Livorno Vis Pesaro
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins36%20%29%36%20%29%
Draws27%10%19%45%50%48%
Loses36%70%52%18%30%24%

Form: Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWLLLDWDWDLLW • Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDDWDWDWLDDWWLL

League goals

Metric Livorno Vis Pesaro
HATHAT
GF total1462091120
GF avg1.30.61.00.81.11.0
GA total15163181119
GA avg1.41.61.50.71.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLivornoVis Pesaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%76%67%57%
1.529%52%24%24%
2.55%19%5%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLivornoVis Pesaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets235639
Failed to score358527

Penalties

MetricLivornoVis Pesaro
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricLivornoVis Pesaro
Wins12
Draws13
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-33-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricLivornoVis Pesaro
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total52.3%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vis Pesaro

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Dafabet
Draw3.10 @ Dafabet
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Livorno = 1.16 (league 1.23), Vis Pesaro = 1.42 (league 1.08)

Vis Pesaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 7.5% 10.7% 7.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.8% 12.5% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.1% 7.3% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 42.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1