Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 16:30 •
Stadio Pietro Barbetti
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.23)
0.83 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.7% | 30.2% | 26.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Forli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gubbio | 0 | 13.5% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gubbio | Forli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 10% | 50% |
| Defense | 80% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gubbio | Forli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 12 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 11% | 33% | 24% | 36% | 27% | 32% |
| Draws | 78% | 33% | 52% | 27% | 9% | 18% |
| Loses | 11% | 33% | 24% | 36% | 64% | 50% |
Form: Gubbio: WDDWWLDDLLWDDDDDLDLDW • Forli: LWWLLWLWDWDWLLLDLWLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Gubbio | Forli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gubbio | Forli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 62% | 64% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 14% | 32% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 5% | 14% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gubbio | Forli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gubbio | Forli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gubbio | Forli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-3 | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gubbio | Forli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Gubbio or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gubbio = 1.17 (league 1.23), Forli = 0.83 (league 1.08)
| Forli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gubbio | 0 | 13.5% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 26.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1