Fri, Jan 30 2026 • 19:30 •
Stadio Citta dell Aria
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.23)
1.48 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.6% | 25.8% | 64.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.8%
0 - 2
16.8%
0 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Arezzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 0 | 15.5% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 73% |
| Attack | 55% | 91% |
| Defense | 9% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Arezzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| Wins | 27% | 42% | 35% | 80% | 67% | 73% |
| Draws | 36% | 25% | 30% | 10% | 25% | 18% |
| Loses | 36% | 33% | 35% | 10% | 8% | 9% |
Form: Guidonia Montecelio 1937: DLWLWWLLWWDWWLDWDDDLDLL • Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWWWLDDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Arezzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 14 | 21 | 18 | 24 | 42 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Arezzo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 52% | 91% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 35% | 50% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 4% | 36% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Arezzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 15% | 85% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 26.8% | 73.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Arezzo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = 0.39 (league 1.23), Arezzo = 1.48 (league 1.08)
| Arezzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 0 | 15.5% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.6% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 64.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1