Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 19:30 • Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani
Match Finished
0 - 3
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.21) 1.43 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.3% 26.3% 44.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pineto 0 7.8% 11.2% 8.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.7% 12.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.9% 7.0% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPinetoTernana
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack46%38%
Defense38%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pineto Ternana
HATHAT
Played131225121325
Wins38%33%36%58%31%44%
Draws31%42%36%17%46%32%
Loses31%25%28%25%23%24%

Form: Pineto: DWDWLLLLWWDDWWDLDDWWDDWLL • Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWDDDDWLWWDWLWLDW

League goals

Metric Pineto Ternana
HATHAT
GF total191534161531
GF avg1.51.31.41.31.21.2
GA total171431111223
GA avg1.31.21.20.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePinetoTernana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%68%72%68%
1.532%32%40%20%
2.516%24%8%4%
3.50%0%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPinetoTernana
HATHAT
Clean sheets538448
Failed to score123257

Penalties

MetricPinetoTernana
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricPinetoTernana
Wins22
Draws24
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-33-00-21-0
Goals For3324
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricPinetoTernana
Form42%58%
Att55%45%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h33%67%
Goals29%71%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ternana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away2.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pineto = 1.12 (league 1.21), Ternana = 1.43 (league 1.09)

Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pineto 0 7.8% 11.2% 8.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.7% 12.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.9% 7.0% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.3% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 44.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1