Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Libero Liberati
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.21) 0.74 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.1% 23.4% 15.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Forli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana 0 8.5% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.6% 10.9% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.3% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTernanaForli
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack67%42%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ternana Forli
HATHAT
Played121426121426
Wins58%36%46%42%21%31%
Draws17%43%31%25%21%23%
Loses25%21%23%33%57%46%

Form: Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWDDDDWLWWDWLWLDWW • Forli: LWWLLWLWDWDWLLLDLWLLDLLDWD

League goals

Metric Ternana Forli
HATHAT
GF total161834171330
GF avg1.31.31.31.40.91.2
GA total111223142337
GA avg0.90.90.91.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTernanaForli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%65%65%81%
1.542%19%35%42%
2.512%4%12%15%
3.54%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTernanaForli
HATHAT
Clean sheets459325
Failed to score257279

Penalties

MetricTernanaForli
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricTernanaForli
Wins22
Draws41
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-20-2
Biggest losses0-21-00-24-0
Goals For2443
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricTernanaForli
Form67%33%
Att62%38%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Ternana or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ternana = 1.72 (league 1.21), Forli = 0.74 (league 1.09)

Forli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana 0 8.5% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.6% 10.9% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.3% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.1% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 15.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1