Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Citta dell Aria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.21) 0.57 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.9% 46.8% 32.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.6%
0 - 1
21.6%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Gubbio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0 37.6% 21.6% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.2% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Gubbio
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack44%33%
Defense44%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

45%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Gubbio
HATHAT
Played141327131427
Wins21%38%30%31%29%30%
Draws50%31%41%54%36%44%
Loses29%31%30%15%36%26%

Form: Guidonia Montecelio 1937: DLWLWWLLWWDWWLDWDDDLDLLDDDD • Gubbio: WDDWWLDDLLWDDDDDLDLDWWLWWDL

League goals

Metric Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Gubbio
HATHAT
GF total101424121022
GF avg0.71.10.90.90.70.8
GA total121224101020
GA avg0.90.90.90.80.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuidonia Montecelio 1937Gubbio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%52%63%59%
1.519%33%11%11%
2.54%4%7%4%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Gubbio
HATHAT
Clean sheets76136511
Failed to score6394610

Penalties

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Gubbio
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Gubbio
Wins22
Draws35
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-10-22-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Gubbio
Form36%64%
Att57%43%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total48.5%51.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gubbio and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Unibet
Draw2.70 @ Unibet
Away3.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = 0.40 (league 1.21), Gubbio = 0.57 (league 1.10)

Gubbio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0 37.6% 21.6% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.2% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 46.8% · Away win 32.3%

vtt 3 , vtd1