Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Renato Curi
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.22) 0.99 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.1% 32.0% 36.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.2%
0 - 1
15.2%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Pineto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 15.2% 15.2% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.4% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerugiaPineto
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack33%13%
Defense60%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perugia Pineto
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins21%15%19%36%31%33%
Draws36%31%33%29%38%33%
Loses43%54%48%36%31%33%

Form: Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLWDDDWLLLWWDLLDWLD • Pineto: DWDWLLLLWWDDWWDLDDWWDDWLLLL

League goals

Metric Perugia Pineto
HATHAT
GF total131326191534
GF avg0.91.01.01.41.21.3
GA total132134201535
GA avg0.91.61.31.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerugiaPineto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%81%81%70%
1.526%37%30%33%
2.54%7%15%26%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerugiaPineto
HATHAT
Clean sheets415538
Failed to score6410235

Penalties

MetricPerugiaPineto
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricPerugiaPineto
Wins22
Draws32
Losses74

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-33-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricPerugiaPineto
Form63%38%
Att71%29%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total56.3%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Perugia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away4.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.61 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Perugia = 0.89 (league 1.22), Pineto = 0.99 (league 1.09)

Pineto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 15.2% 15.2% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.4% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.1% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 36.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1