Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Tonino Benelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.22) 0.52 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.4% 31.3% 16.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.6%
0 - 0
18.3%
2 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vis Pesaro 0 18.3% 9.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.6% 11.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVis PesaroPontedera
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack44%67%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vis Pesaro Pontedera
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins31%21%26%21%8%15%
Draws46%43%44%36%23%30%
Loses23%36%30%43%69%56%

Form: Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDDWDWDWLDDWWLLLWDLLD • Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLWDLWLLLDDLLDLDLDL

League goals

Metric Vis Pesaro Pontedera
HATHAT
GF total11142515924
GF avg0.81.00.91.10.70.9
GA total111526252449
GA avg0.81.11.01.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVis PesaroPontedera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%63%63%93%
1.522%26%26%56%
2.54%7%0%22%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVis PesaroPontedera
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410112
Failed to score5494610

Penalties

MetricVis PesaroPontedera
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricVis PesaroPontedera
Wins21
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-1
Biggest losses0-33-10-45-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricVis PesaroPontedera
Form71%29%
Att40%60%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Double chance : Vis Pesaro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away4.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vis Pesaro = 1.18 (league 1.22), Pontedera = 0.52 (league 1.09)

Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vis Pesaro 0 18.3% 9.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.6% 11.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 16.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1