Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 19:30 • Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.20) 1.14 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 21.6% 21.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Forli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pineto 0 4.4% 5.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.7% 10.0% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.9% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPinetoForli
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack15%62%
Defense38%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pineto Forli
HATHAT
Played141428131528
Wins36%36%36%46%20%32%
Draws29%36%32%23%20%21%
Loses36%29%32%31%60%46%

Form: Pineto: DWDWLLLLWWDDWWDLDDWWDDWLLLLW • Forli: LWWLLWLWDWDWLLLDLWLLDLLDWDLW

League goals

Metric Pineto Forli
HATHAT
GF total191635191433
GF avg1.41.11.31.50.91.2
GA total201535142539
GA avg1.41.11.31.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePinetoForli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%68%68%79%
1.529%32%36%43%
2.514%25%11%14%
3.50%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPinetoForli
HATHAT
Clean sheets549426
Failed to score235279

Penalties

MetricPinetoForli
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricPinetoForli
Wins22
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-20-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-24-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricPinetoForli
Form27%73%
Att20%80%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Forli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Betano
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.05 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pineto = 1.98 (league 1.20), Forli = 1.14 (league 1.10)

Forli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pineto 0 4.4% 5.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.7% 10.0% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.9% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 21.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1