Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 19:30 • Citta di Arezzo
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.21) 0.72 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 29.4% 21.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
0 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 13.8% 9.9% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 12.5% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 7.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArezzoTernana
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack38%85%
Defense92%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arezzo Ternana
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins77%67%71%57%36%46%
Draws15%27%21%14%43%29%
Loses8%7%7%29%21%25%

Form: Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWWWLDDWWWWDWWWD • Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWDDDDWLWWDWLWLDWWWL

League goals

Metric Arezzo Ternana
HATHAT
GF total222648201838
GF avg1.71.71.71.41.31.4
GA total8917161228
GA avg0.60.60.61.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArezzoTernana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%43%75%68%
1.543%14%46%21%
2.529%4%11%7%
3.57%0%4%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArezzoTernana
HATHAT
Clean sheets7916459
Failed to score123257

Penalties

MetricArezzoTernana
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total71

Streaks

MetricArezzoTernana
Wins53
Draws24
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-32-01-4
Biggest losses0-12-12-41-0
Goals For5424
Goals Against3243

Model comparison

MetricArezzoTernana
Form52%48%
Att31%69%
Def88%13%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h13%88%
Goals33%67%
Total46.5%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ternana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away4.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.53 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arezzo = 1.27 (league 1.21), Ternana = 0.72 (league 1.09)

Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 13.8% 9.9% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 12.5% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 7.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 21.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1