Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 20:00 • Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.22) 1.62 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.6% 23.3% 67.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.6%
0 - 2
17.5%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 13.3% 21.6% 17.5% 9.5% 3.8% 1.2%
1 5.3% 8.5% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
2 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSambenedetteseAscoli
Played55
Form7%87%
Attack23%100%
Defense38%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sambenedettese Ascoli
HATHAT
Played141428151429
Wins14%21%18%60%57%59%
Draws29%43%36%33%21%28%
Loses57%36%46%7%21%14%

Form: Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLLLLDDDLDLDDWLDLLLLD • Ascoli: DWDWWWWWWDWLDWLDWDDLWLWWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Sambenedettese Ascoli
HATHAT
GF total81523282351
GF avg0.61.10.81.91.61.8
GA total15163181119
GA avg1.11.11.10.50.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSambenedetteseAscoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%75%76%48%
1.521%29%55%10%
2.54%4%34%3%
3.54%4%7%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSambenedetteseAscoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets4379615
Failed to score9413437

Penalties

MetricSambenedetteseAscoli
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricSambenedetteseAscoli
Wins36
Draws32
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-25-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-20-24-2
Goals For4253
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricSambenedetteseAscoli
Form7%93%
Att18%82%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total30.3%69.7%

Advice: Winner : Ascoli

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Betfair
Away2.05 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ Pinnacle
No1.74 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sambenedettese = 0.39 (league 1.22), Ascoli = 1.62 (league 1.09)

Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 13.3% 21.6% 17.5% 9.5% 3.8% 1.2%
1 5.3% 8.5% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
2 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.6% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 67.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1