Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Renato Curi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.21) 0.58 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.4% 28.4% 16.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 14.7% 8.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 11.4% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 7.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerugiaPontedera
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack71%43%
Defense29%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perugia Pontedera
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins20%21%21%20%7%14%
Draws33%29%31%33%29%31%
Loses47%50%48%47%64%55%

Form: Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLWDDDWLLLWWDLLDWLDLW • Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLWDLWLLLDDLLDLDLDLDL

League goals

Metric Perugia Pontedera
HATHAT
GF total131528151025
GF avg0.91.11.01.00.70.9
GA total142236262551
GA avg0.91.61.21.71.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerugiaPontedera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%83%62%93%
1.528%34%24%52%
2.53%7%0%21%
3.53%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerugiaPontedera
HATHAT
Clean sheets415112
Failed to score74115611

Penalties

MetricPerugiaPontedera
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPerugiaPontedera
Wins21
Draws32
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-22-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-00-45-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against2345

Model comparison

MetricPerugiaPontedera
Form78%22%
Att63%38%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total67.5%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Perugia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ Unibet
Draw3.65 @ Superbet
Away5.65 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Perugia = 1.34 (league 1.21), Pontedera = 0.58 (league 1.09)

Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 14.7% 8.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 11.4% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 7.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 16.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1