Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:30 •
Stadio Renato Curi
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.22)
0.58 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.0% | 28.6% | 16.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Pontedera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Perugia | 0 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Perugia | Pontedera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 20% |
| Attack | 31% | 38% |
| Defense | 62% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Perugia | Pontedera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 13 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 20% | 15% | 18% | 21% | 7% | 14% |
| Draws | 33% | 31% | 32% | 36% | 29% | 32% |
| Loses | 47% | 54% | 50% | 43% | 64% | 54% |
Form: Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLWDDDWLLLWWDLLDWLDL • Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLWDLWLLLDDLLDLDLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Perugia | Pontedera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 21 | 35 | 25 | 25 | 50 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Perugia | Pontedera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 82% | 64% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 36% | 25% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 7% | 0% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Perugia | Pontedera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Perugia | Pontedera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Perugia | Pontedera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Perugia | Pontedera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 62.2% | 38.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Perugia or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Perugia = 1.33 (league 1.22), Pontedera = 0.58 (league 1.09)
| Pontedera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Perugia | 0 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.0% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 16.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1