Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:30 •
Stadio Tullo Morgagni
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.22)
0.71 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4% | 21.8% | 13.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Livorno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Forli | 0 | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Forli | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 62% | 46% |
| Defense | 62% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Forli | Livorno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 15 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 46% | 20% | 32% | 47% | 23% | 36% |
| Draws | 23% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 18% |
| Loses | 31% | 60% | 46% | 33% | 62% | 46% |
Form: Forli: LWWLLWLWDWDWLLLDLWLLDLLDWDLW • Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWLLLDWDWDLLWWLWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Forli | Livorno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 14 | 33 | 20 | 9 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 25 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Forli | Livorno | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 79% | 68% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 43% | 32% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 14% | 4% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Forli | Livorno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Forli | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Forli | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Forli | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Forli or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Forli = 1.85 (league 1.22), Livorno = 0.71 (league 1.09)
| Livorno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Forli | 0 | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.4% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 13.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1