Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Pietro Barbetti
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.21) 1.18 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.2% 31.2% 50.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.3%
0 - 0
17.3%
0 - 2
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gubbio 0 17.3% 20.3% 12.0% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.0% 11.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGubbioAscoli
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack63%100%
Defense63%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gubbio Ascoli
HATHAT
Played141630161531
Wins36%38%37%63%60%61%
Draws50%31%40%31%20%26%
Loses14%31%23%6%20%13%

Form: Gubbio: WDDWWLDDLLWDDDDDLDLDWWLWWDLWWW • Ascoli: DWDWWWWWWDWLDWLDWDDLWLWWWDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Gubbio Ascoli
HATHAT
GF total141226302454
GF avg1.00.80.91.91.61.7
GA total11102181119
GA avg0.80.60.70.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGubbioAscoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%57%77%45%
1.513%10%55%10%
2.57%3%32%3%
3.50%0%6%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGubbioAscoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets671310717
Failed to score4610437

Penalties

MetricGubbioAscoli
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricGubbioAscoli
Wins26
Draws52
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-24-2
Goals For3353
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricGubbioAscoli
Form40%60%
Att29%71%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total37.5%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ascoli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away1.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gubbio = 0.58 (league 1.21), Ascoli = 1.18 (league 1.09)

Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gubbio 0 17.3% 20.3% 12.0% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.0% 11.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.2% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 50.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1