Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Armando Picchi
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.21) 0.96 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 24.9% 22.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Carpi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 7.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.4% 11.8% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLivornoAthletic Carpi
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack50%63%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Livorno Athletic Carpi
HATHAT
Played161430161531
Wins44%21%33%25%33%29%
Draws19%21%20%50%7%29%
Loses38%57%47%25%60%42%

Form: Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWLLLDWDWDLLWWLWWLWDLD • Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLLWWDLWWLWWDLDLDLLDLLDWLLD

League goals

Metric Livorno Athletic Carpi
HATHAT
GF total211031171229
GF avg1.30.71.01.10.80.9
GA total212142172239
GA avg1.31.51.41.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLivornoAthletic Carpi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%77%68%77%
1.530%47%23%32%
2.53%17%3%13%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLivornoAthletic Carpi
HATHAT
Clean sheets347347
Failed to score3694610

Penalties

MetricLivornoAthletic Carpi
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total71

Streaks

MetricLivornoAthletic Carpi
Wins22
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-33-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricLivornoAthletic Carpi
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Livorno or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away3.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Livorno = 1.61 (league 1.21), Athletic Carpi = 0.96 (league 1.09)

Athletic Carpi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 7.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.4% 11.8% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 22.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1