Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 • Citta di Arezzo
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.21) 0.70 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.0% 18.7% 11.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Perugia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 6.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 8.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 6.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArezzoPerugia
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack50%60%
Defense70%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arezzo Perugia
HATHAT
Played141630161430
Wins71%69%70%25%21%23%
Draws14%25%20%31%29%30%
Loses14%6%10%44%50%47%

Form: Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWWWLDDWWWWDWWWDLW • Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLWDDDWLLLWWDLLDWLDLWW

League goals

Metric Arezzo Perugia
HATHAT
GF total232750151530
GF avg1.61.71.70.91.11.0
GA total10919152237
GA avg0.70.60.60.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArezzoPerugia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%43%63%83%
1.540%17%30%33%
2.527%3%3%7%
3.57%0%3%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArezzoPerugia
HATHAT
Clean sheets71017415
Failed to score1237411

Penalties

MetricArezzoPerugia
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total72

Streaks

MetricArezzoPerugia
Wins52
Draws23
Losses17

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-34-01-2
Biggest losses1-22-10-23-0
Goals For5442
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricArezzoPerugia
Form59%41%
Att45%55%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Arezzo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ William Hill
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away6.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.55 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arezzo = 2.12 (league 1.21), Perugia = 0.70 (league 1.10)

Perugia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 6.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 8.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 6.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.0% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 11.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1