Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Ettore Mannucci
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.21) 1.72 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 23.6% 57.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
0 - 2
11.6%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 7.8% 13.5% 11.6% 6.6% 2.9% 1.0%
1 6.5% 11.1% 9.6% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 2.7% 4.6% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPontederaGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Played55
Form13%13%
Attack50%38%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pontedera Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins20%7%13%19%36%27%
Draws33%27%30%44%29%37%
Loses47%67%57%38%36%37%

Form: Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLWDLWLLLDDLLDLDLDLDLL • Guidonia Montecelio 1937: DLWLWWLLWWDWWLDWDDDLDLLDDDDLLL

League goals

Metric Pontedera Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
GF total151126101525
GF avg1.00.70.90.61.10.8
GA total262753141428
GA avg1.71.81.80.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePontederaGuidonia Montecelio 1937
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%93%63%57%
1.523%53%17%33%
2.50%20%3%3%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPontederaGuidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Clean sheets1127613
Failed to score56118311

Penalties

MetricPontederaGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricPontederaGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Wins12
Draws24
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-2
Biggest losses0-45-00-22-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricPontederaGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total40.6%59.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guidonia Montecelio 1937

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.08 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Betano
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pontedera = 0.83 (league 1.21), Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = 1.72 (league 1.09)

Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 7.8% 13.5% 11.6% 6.6% 2.9% 1.0%
1 6.5% 11.1% 9.6% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 2.7% 4.6% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 57.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1