Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:30 • Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani
Not Started
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Bra

Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.21) 1.24 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 20.8% 21.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pineto 0 3.5% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.2% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPinetoBra
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack50%63%
Defense13%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pineto Bra
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins40%33%37%33%7%20%
Draws27%33%30%40%33%37%
Loses33%33%33%27%60%43%

Form: Pineto: DWDWLLLLWWDDWWDLDDWWDDWLLLLWWL • Bra: LDLDLLWLLDDWLLWDWLDDDWDWLDLLDL

League goals

Metric Pineto Bra
HATHAT
GF total221638191433
GF avg1.51.11.31.30.91.1
GA total221638182644
GA avg1.51.11.31.21.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePinetoBra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%83%87%
1.530%33%27%43%
2.517%23%0%13%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPinetoBra
HATHAT
Clean sheets549404
Failed to score246235

Penalties

MetricPinetoBra
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricPinetoBra
Wins21
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-01-34-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricPinetoBra
Form75%25%
Att44%56%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Pineto or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away4.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pineto = 2.11 (league 1.21), Bra = 1.24 (league 1.09)

Bra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pineto 0 3.5% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.2% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 21.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1