Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 16:30 • Tonino Benelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.21) 1.06 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.8% 32.7% 44.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.8%
0 - 0
17.7%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vis Pesaro 0 17.7% 18.8% 10.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.9% 12.6% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVis PesaroTernana
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack54%69%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vis Pesaro Ternana
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins33%27%30%53%40%47%
Draws47%40%43%13%40%27%
Loses20%33%27%33%20%27%

Form: Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDDWDWDWLDDWWLLLWDLLDDWW • Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWDDDDWLWWDWLWLDWWWLWL

League goals

Metric Vis Pesaro Ternana
HATHAT
GF total141731202040
GF avg0.91.11.01.31.31.3
GA total131629171330
GA avg0.91.11.01.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVis PesaroTernana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%67%73%70%
1.527%23%47%20%
2.57%7%10%7%
3.50%0%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVis PesaroTernana
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410459
Failed to score549358

Penalties

MetricVis PesaroTernana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricVis PesaroTernana
Wins23
Draws34
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-01-4
Biggest losses0-33-12-41-0
Goals For3324
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricVis PesaroTernana
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ternana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vis Pesaro = 0.67 (league 1.21), Ternana = 1.06 (league 1.10)

Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vis Pesaro 0 17.7% 18.8% 10.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.9% 12.6% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 44.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1