Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Libero Liberati
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.21) 1.10 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.7% 28.5% 33.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sambenedettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana 0 10.2% 11.2% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.1% 13.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.1% 7.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTernanaSambenedettese
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack50%8%
Defense33%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ternana Sambenedettese
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins53%38%45%13%27%19%
Draws13%38%26%25%40%32%
Loses33%25%29%63%33%48%

Form: Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWDDDDWLWWDWLWLDWWWLWLL • Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLLLLDDDLDLDDWLDLLLLDLWL

League goals

Metric Ternana Sambenedettese
HATHAT
GF total20204081624
GF avg1.31.31.30.51.10.8
GA total171431171633
GA avg1.10.91.01.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTernanaSambenedettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%52%74%
1.545%19%19%26%
2.510%6%3%3%
3.53%3%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTernanaSambenedettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets459448
Failed to score36911415

Penalties

MetricTernanaSambenedettese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricTernanaSambenedettese
Wins33
Draws43
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-20-2
Biggest losses2-41-00-24-2
Goals For2442
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricTernanaSambenedettese
Form60%40%
Att86%14%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals0%100%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sambenedettese and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away5.51 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ternana = 1.18 (league 1.21), Sambenedettese = 1.10 (league 1.10)

Sambenedettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana 0 10.2% 11.2% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.1% 13.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.1% 7.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 33.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1