Mon, Mar 30 2026 • 18:30 • Citta di Arezzo
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.21) 1.09 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 29.5% 35.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 11.6% 12.7% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.4% 13.5% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArezzoAscoli
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense43%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arezzo Ascoli
HATHAT
Played151732161632
Wins67%71%69%63%63%63%
Draws20%24%22%31%19%25%
Loses13%6%9%6%19%13%

Form: Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWWWLDDWWWWDWWWDLWDW • Ascoli: DWDWWWWWWDWLDWLDWDDLWLWWWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Arezzo Ascoli
HATHAT
GF total243155302757
GF avg1.61.81.71.91.71.8
GA total1192081220
GA avg0.70.50.60.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArezzoAscoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%44%78%47%
1.541%16%56%9%
2.528%3%34%3%
3.59%0%6%3%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArezzoAscoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets7111810717
Failed to score123437

Penalties

MetricArezzoAscoli
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total88

Streaks

MetricArezzoAscoli
Wins56
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-45-00-3
Biggest losses1-22-10-24-2
Goals For5453
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricArezzoAscoli
Form35%65%
Att40%60%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h64%36%
Goals63%38%
Total47.0%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ascoli

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Betfair
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.70 @ BetVictor

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ BetVictor
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arezzo = 1.06 (league 1.21), Ascoli = 1.09 (league 1.09)

Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 11.6% 12.7% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.4% 13.5% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 35.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1