Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 15:30 • Stadio Renato Curi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.21) 0.99 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.5% 31.9% 36.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.2%
0 - 1
15.0%
1 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Juventus U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 15.2% 15.0% 7.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.5% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerugiaJuventus U23
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack70%70%
Defense60%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perugia Juventus U23
HATHAT
Played171633151732
Wins24%25%24%53%29%41%
Draws35%31%33%13%35%25%
Loses41%44%42%33%35%34%

Form: Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLWDDDWLLLWWDLLDWLDLWWDDW • Juventus U23: DWDLWWLLWLLLWLDWDDDWWWLWWWLLWLDD

League goals

Metric Perugia Juventus U23
HATHAT
GF total161733212041
GF avg0.91.11.01.41.21.3
GA total162339182038
GA avg0.91.41.21.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerugiaJuventus U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%82%75%69%
1.527%30%41%31%
2.53%6%9%13%
3.53%0%3%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerugiaJuventus U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets4266410
Failed to score7411358

Penalties

MetricPerugiaJuventus U23
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricPerugiaJuventus U23
Wins23
Draws33
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-24-20-3
Biggest losses0-23-02-44-2
Goals For4243
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricPerugiaJuventus U23
Form69%31%
Att50%50%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h67%33%
Goals80%20%
Total63.8%36.2%

Advice: Double chance : Perugia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ Dafabet
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away3.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Perugia = 0.90 (league 1.21), Juventus U23 = 0.99 (league 1.09)

Juventus U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 15.2% 15.0% 7.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.5% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 36.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1