Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Armando Picchi
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.20) 1.02 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.4% 32.3% 39.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Gubbio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 16.0% 16.3% 8.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.3% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.3% 5.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLivornoGubbio
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack83%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Livorno Gubbio
HATHAT
Played171633161733
Wins41%19%30%31%35%33%
Draws24%19%21%44%35%39%
Loses35%63%48%25%29%27%

Form: Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWLLLDWDWDLLWWLWWLWDLDDLL • Gubbio: WDDWWLDDLLWDDDDDLDLDWWLWWDLWWWLDL

League goals

Metric Livorno Gubbio
HATHAT
GF total231134151429
GF avg1.40.71.00.90.80.9
GA total232649161228
GA avg1.41.61.51.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLivornoGubbio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%79%67%61%
1.530%52%15%18%
2.53%18%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLivornoGubbio
HATHAT
Clean sheets3476713
Failed to score37105611

Penalties

MetricLivornoGubbio
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total82

Streaks

MetricLivornoGubbio
Wins23
Draws25
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-32-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricLivornoGubbio
Form22%78%
Att45%55%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gubbio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Dafabet
Draw3.15 @ Dafabet
Away3.15 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Livorno = 0.82 (league 1.20), Gubbio = 1.02 (league 1.10)

Gubbio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 16.0% 16.3% 8.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.3% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.3% 5.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 39.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1