Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 12:30 • Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.21) 1.81 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.6% 18.8% 76.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.1%
0 - 2
21.8%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Arezzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 13.3% 24.1% 21.8% 13.2% 6.0% 2.2%
1 2.8% 5.0% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
2 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSambenedetteseArezzo
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack20%80%
Defense70%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sambenedettese Arezzo
HATHAT
Played161733161733
Wins13%24%18%63%71%67%
Draws25%47%36%19%24%21%
Loses63%29%45%19%6%12%

Form: Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLLLLDDDLDLDDWLDLLLLDLWLDD • Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWWWLDDWWWWDWWWDLWDWL

League goals

Metric Sambenedettese Arezzo
HATHAT
GF total81725253156
GF avg0.51.00.81.61.81.7
GA total17173413922
GA avg1.11.01.00.80.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSambenedetteseArezzo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%73%91%45%
1.518%24%39%18%
2.53%3%27%3%
3.53%3%9%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSambenedetteseArezzo
HATHAT
Clean sheets45971118
Failed to score11516123

Penalties

MetricSambenedetteseArezzo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total38

Streaks

MetricSambenedetteseArezzo
Wins35
Draws32
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-25-10-4
Biggest losses0-24-21-22-1
Goals For4254
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricSambenedetteseArezzo
Form42%58%
Att20%80%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h67%33%
Goals57%43%
Total43.3%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sambenedettese or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.46 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Dafabet
Away1.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sambenedettese = 0.21 (league 1.21), Arezzo = 1.81 (league 1.09)

Arezzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 13.3% 24.1% 21.8% 13.2% 6.0% 2.2%
1 2.8% 5.0% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
2 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.6% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 76.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1