Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Sandro Cabassi
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.20) 0.80 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.9% 24.4% 18.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 8.6% 6.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 11.4% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic CarpiPontedera
Played55
Form13%13%
Attack83%50%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Carpi Pontedera
HATHAT
Played171633171633
Wins24%31%27%18%6%12%
Draws47%13%30%35%31%33%
Loses29%56%42%47%63%55%

Form: Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLLWWDLWWLWWDLDLDLLDLLDWLLDDL • Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLWDLWLLLDDLLDLDLDLDLLLDD

League goals

Metric Athletic Carpi Pontedera
HATHAT
GF total181432151328
GF avg1.10.91.00.90.80.8
GA total192443272956
GA avg1.11.51.31.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic CarpiPontedera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%79%61%91%
1.524%36%24%52%
2.53%12%0%18%
3.50%3%0%6%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic CarpiPontedera
HATHAT
Clean sheets347213
Failed to score46107613

Penalties

MetricAthletic CarpiPontedera
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAthletic CarpiPontedera
Wins21
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-1
Biggest losses0-33-00-45-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against3445

Model comparison

MetricAthletic CarpiPontedera
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total60.0%40.4%

Advice: Double chance : Athletic Carpi or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away3.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.84 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Carpi = 1.65 (league 1.20), Pontedera = 0.80 (league 1.10)

Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 8.6% 6.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 11.4% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.9% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 18.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1