Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.93 (league 1.53) 2.73 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.8% 13.8% 20.2%
best score tips
3 - 2
4.8%
4 - 2
4.7%
3 - 3
4.4%
Score & goals probability table
Potenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
1 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6%
2 1.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6%
4 1.3% 3.5% 4.7% 4.3% 3.0% 1.6%
5 1.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasertanaPotenza
Played22
Form50%67%
Attack24%18%
Defense82%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 23 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.52 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casertana Potenza
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%0%100%50%
Draws0%0%0%100%0%50%
Loses0%100%50%0%0%0%

Form: Casertana: WL • Potenza: WD

League goals

Metric Casertana Potenza
HATHAT
GF total314033
GF avg3.01.02.00.03.01.5
GA total123022
GA avg1.02.01.50.02.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasertanaPotenza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%50%
1.550%50%50%50%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasertanaPotenza
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricCasertanaPotenza
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCasertanaPotenza
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-3
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For3103
Goals Against1202

Model comparison

MetricCasertanaPotenza
Form43%57%
Att57%43%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Potenza and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.97 @ 188Bet
Away3.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casertana = 3.93 (league 1.53), Potenza = 2.73 (league 1.10)

Potenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
1 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6%
2 1.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6%
4 1.3% 3.5% 4.7% 4.3% 3.0% 1.6%
5 1.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 20.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1