Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:30 • Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.53) 1.37 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.9% 21.9% 26.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cosenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 3.6% 4.9% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.0% 9.6% 6.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasertanaCosenza
Played44
Form50%42%
Attack70%70%
Defense30%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.87 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.85 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casertana Cosenza
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses0%100%50%50%0%25%

Form: Casertana: WLWL • Cosenza: DLDW

League goals

Metric Casertana Cosenza
HATHAT
GF total617527
GF avg3.00.51.82.51.01.8
GA total347325
GA avg1.52.01.81.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasertanaCosenza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%75%75%
1.550%75%50%50%
2.550%0%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasertanaCosenza
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricCasertanaCosenza
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCasertanaCosenza
Wins10
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-14-1
Biggest losses2-01-2
Goals For3142
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricCasertanaCosenza
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.8%49.3%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Dafabet
Draw3.40 @ William Hill
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casertana = 1.97 (league 1.53), Cosenza = 1.37 (league 1.10)

Cosenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 3.6% 4.9% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.0% 9.6% 6.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.9% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 26.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1