Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:30 • Stadio Angelo Massimino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.79 (league 1.56) 0.46 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.0% 2.5% 0.7%
best score tips
4 - 0
11.5%
5 - 0
11.0%
3 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.0% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCataniaSorrento
Played44
Form75%8%
Attack100%20%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 32 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 15 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catania Sorrento
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses0%50%25%50%100%75%

Form: Catania: WWWL • Sorrento: DLLL

League goals

Metric Catania Sorrento
HATHAT
GF total10212112
GF avg5.01.03.00.50.50.5
GA total044235
GA avg0.02.01.01.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCataniaSorrento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%50%75%
1.550%25%0%50%
2.550%25%0%0%
3.550%25%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCataniaSorrento
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricCataniaSorrento
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricCataniaSorrento
Wins30
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-1——
Biggest losses—4-11-22-1
Goals For6111
Goals Against0422

Model comparison

MetricCataniaSorrento
Form90%10%
Att86%14%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals50%50%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Winner : Catania

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Dafabet
Draw5.21 @ Pinnacle
Away11.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catania = 4.79 (league 1.56), Sorrento = 0.46 (league 1.09)

Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.0% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 2.5% · Away win 0.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1