Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.52) 1.82 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.9% 23.0% 52.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sorrento 0 5.1% 9.3% 8.5% 5.2% 2.3% 0.9%
1 5.9% 10.7% 9.8% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.4% 6.2% 5.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSorrentoCasarano
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack17%67%
Defense58%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sorrento Casarano
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%0%0%67%50%60%
Draws50%33%40%33%0%20%
Loses50%67%60%0%50%20%

Form: Sorrento: DLLLD • Casarano: DLWWW

League goals

Metric Sorrento Casarano
HATHAT
GF total112448
GF avg0.50.30.41.32.01.6
GA total235077
GA avg1.01.01.00.03.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSorrentoCasarano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%80%40%
1.50%40%60%20%
2.50%0%20%20%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSorrentoCasarano
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricSorrentoCasarano
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSorrentoCasarano
Wins00
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2
Biggest losses1-22-16-2
Goals For1132
Goals Against2206

Model comparison

MetricSorrentoCasarano
Form17%83%
Att20%80%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h80%20%
Goals92%8%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Casarano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.89 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sorrento = 1.15 (league 1.52), Casarano = 1.82 (league 1.10)

Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sorrento 0 5.1% 9.3% 8.5% 5.2% 2.3% 0.9%
1 5.9% 10.7% 9.8% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.4% 6.2% 5.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.3% 2.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.9% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 52.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1