Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Arechi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.54) 0.27 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 40.8% 11.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.8%
1 - 0
27.6%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Audace Cerignola
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 32.8% 9.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.6% 7.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.6% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalernitanaAudace Cerignola
Played55
Form100%40%
Attack67%42%
Defense75%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salernitana Audace Cerignola
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins100%100%100%33%0%20%
Draws0%0%0%67%50%60%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%20%

Form: Salernitana: WWWWW • Audace Cerignola: DDWLD

League goals

Metric Salernitana Audace Cerignola
HATHAT
GF total448505
GF avg1.32.01.61.70.01.0
GA total123325
GA avg0.31.00.61.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalernitanaAudace Cerignola
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%40%60%
1.560%0%40%40%
2.50%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalernitanaAudace Cerignola
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricSalernitanaAudace Cerignola
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSalernitanaAudace Cerignola
Wins51
Draws02
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-1—
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For2230
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricSalernitanaAudace Cerignola
Form71%29%
Att62%38%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.3%35.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Salernitana or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away4.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salernitana = 0.84 (league 1.54), Audace Cerignola = 0.27 (league 1.10)

Audace Cerignola
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 32.8% 9.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.6% 7.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.6% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 40.8% · Away win 11.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1