Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 18:45 • Stadio Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.95 (league 1.53) 3.19 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.7% 16.0% 35.7%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.1%
3 - 3
5.0%
2 - 2
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta II 0 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.6%
1 0.6% 2.0% 3.2% 3.4% 2.7% 1.7%
2 0.9% 3.0% 4.8% 5.1% 4.0% 2.6%
3 0.9% 2.9% 4.7% 5.0% 4.0% 2.5%
4 0.7% 2.2% 3.5% 3.7% 2.9% 1.9%
5 0.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 1.7% 1.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtalanta IICrotone
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack50%83%
Defense50%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atalanta II Crotone
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%33%50%40%
Draws50%0%20%33%50%40%
Loses0%100%60%33%0%20%

Form: Atalanta II: LWDLL • Crotone: LWDDW

League goals

Metric Atalanta II Crotone
HATHAT
GF total6063710
GF avg3.00.01.21.03.52.0
GA total246235
GA avg1.01.31.20.71.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtalanta IICrotone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.520%80%80%40%
1.520%40%60%40%
2.520%0%40%20%
3.520%0%20%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtalanta IICrotone
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricAtalanta IICrotone
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAtalanta IICrotone
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-22-00-4
Biggest losses2-01-2
Goals For6024
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricAtalanta IICrotone
Form33%67%
Att38%63%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.0%60.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Crotone and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atalanta II = 2.95 (league 1.53), Crotone = 3.19 (league 1.10)

Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atalanta II 0 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.6%
1 0.6% 2.0% 3.2% 3.4% 2.7% 1.7%
2 0.9% 3.0% 4.8% 5.1% 4.0% 2.6%
3 0.9% 2.9% 4.7% 5.0% 4.0% 2.5%
4 0.7% 2.2% 3.5% 3.7% 2.9% 1.9%
5 0.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 1.7% 1.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 35.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1