Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 10:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.53) 1.10 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.5% 26.3% 28.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 7.9% 8.7% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.0% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPotenzaAtalanta II
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack62%54%
Defense38%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Potenza Atalanta II
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%33%0%17%
Draws67%0%33%33%0%17%
Loses0%67%33%33%100%67%

Form: Potenza: WDLDWL • Atalanta II: LWDLLL

League goals

Metric Potenza Atalanta II
HATHAT
GF total5611707
GF avg1.72.01.82.30.01.2
GA total3710448
GA avg1.02.31.71.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePotenzaAtalanta II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%33%83%
1.567%67%17%50%
2.533%33%17%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPotenzaAtalanta II
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score101134

Penalties

MetricPotenzaAtalanta II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPotenzaAtalanta II
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-36-2—
Biggest losses—3-21-22-0
Goals For3360
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricPotenzaAtalanta II
Form56%44%
Att53%47%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Potenza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Bet365
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away2.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Marathonbet
No2.25 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Potenza = 1.44 (league 1.53), Atalanta II = 1.10 (league 1.09)

Atalanta II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 7.9% 8.7% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.0% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.9% 4.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.5% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 28.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1