Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Ezio Scida
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.50) 0.46 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.3% 32.4% 15.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.0%
0 - 0
20.3%
2 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 20.3% 9.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 10.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.0% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrotoneCasertana
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack92%50%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crotone Casertana
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%67%50%67%0%33%
Draws33%33%33%33%33%33%
Loses33%0%17%0%67%33%

Form: Crotone: LWDDWW • Casertana: WLWLDD

League goals

Metric Crotone Casertana
HATHAT
GF total3912729
GF avg1.03.02.02.30.71.5
GA total246459
GA avg0.71.31.01.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrotoneCasertana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%83%100%
1.567%33%33%50%
2.533%17%33%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrotoneCasertana
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricCrotoneCasertana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCrotoneCasertana
Wins11
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-43-1—
Biggest losses1-2——2-0
Goals For2431
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricCrotoneCasertana
Form69%31%
Att65%35%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Crotone or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.78 @ Marathonbet
Away7.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.78 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crotone = 1.13 (league 1.50), Casertana = 0.46 (league 1.06)

Casertana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 20.3% 9.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 10.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.0% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.3% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 15.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1