Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Giuseppe Capozza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.53) 3.10 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.0% 11.5% 72.1%
best score tips
0 - 3
9.5%
0 - 2
9.2%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Salernitana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 1.9% 6.0% 9.2% 9.5% 7.4% 4.6%
1 1.6% 5.1% 7.9% 8.1% 6.3% 3.9%
2 0.7% 2.2% 3.4% 3.5% 2.7% 1.7%
3 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasaranoSalernitana
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack92%75%
Defense17%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casarano Salernitana
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins67%33%50%75%100%83%
Draws33%33%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%17%25%0%17%

Form: Casarano: DLWWWD • Salernitana: WWWWWL

League goals

Metric Casarano Salernitana
HATHAT
GF total47116410
GF avg1.32.31.81.52.01.7
GA total01010426
GA avg0.03.31.71.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasaranoSalernitana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%100%67%
1.567%33%67%17%
2.533%33%0%17%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasaranoSalernitana
HATHAT
Clean sheets303202
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricCasaranoSalernitana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCasaranoSalernitana
Wins35
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-11-2
Biggest losses6-22-3
Goals For3322
Goals Against0631

Model comparison

MetricCasaranoSalernitana
Form45%55%
Att55%45%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total46.0%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : Casarano or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casarano = 0.85 (league 1.53), Salernitana = 3.10 (league 1.10)

Salernitana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 1.9% 6.0% 9.2% 9.5% 7.4% 4.6%
1 1.6% 5.1% 7.9% 8.1% 6.3% 3.9%
2 0.7% 2.2% 3.4% 3.5% 2.7% 1.7%
3 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.0% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 72.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1