Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 15:30 • Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.55) 0.91 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.5% 22.3% 18.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.6%
2 - 0
10.8%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Audace Cerignola 0 6.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.6% 10.6% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAudace CerignolaCatania
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack55%64%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Audace Cerignola Catania
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%67%33%50%
Draws67%33%50%33%33%33%
Loses0%33%17%0%33%17%

Form: Audace Cerignola: DDWLDW • Catania: WWWLDD

League goals

Metric Audace Cerignola Catania
HATHAT
GF total53810313
GF avg1.71.01.33.31.02.2
GA total347055
GA avg1.01.31.20.01.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAudace CerignolaCatania
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%83%33%
1.550%50%33%17%
2.533%0%33%17%
3.50%0%33%17%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAudace CerignolaCatania
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricAudace CerignolaCatania
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricAudace CerignolaCatania
Wins13
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-36-00-1
Biggest losses—2-0—4-1
Goals For3361
Goals Against2204

Model comparison

MetricAudace CerignolaCatania
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Audace Cerignola or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.19 @ Pinnacle
Away2.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Audace Cerignola = 1.86 (league 1.55), Catania = 0.91 (league 1.09)

Catania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Audace Cerignola 0 6.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.6% 10.6% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.5% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 18.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1