Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.56 (league 1.53) 0.91 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.4% 15.8% 11.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.3%
3 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Foggia
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Picerno 0 3.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.9% 7.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 9.3% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.7% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ PicernoFoggia
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack100%43%
Defense0%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Picerno Foggia
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%33%17%33%0%17%
Draws67%33%50%67%33%50%
Loses33%33%33%0%67%33%

Form: AZ Picerno: DDWLLD • Foggia: LWLDDD

League goals

Metric AZ Picerno Foggia
HATHAT
GF total549303
GF avg1.71.31.51.00.00.5
GA total6511279
GA avg2.01.71.80.72.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ PicernoFoggia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%50%67%
1.567%83%0%17%
2.50%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ PicernoFoggia
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score011033

Penalties

MetricAZ PicernoFoggia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAZ PicernoFoggia
Wins11
Draws20
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-21-0
Biggest losses1-22-06-0
Goals For2210
Goals Against2216

Model comparison

MetricAZ PicernoFoggia
Form45%55%
Att70%30%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : AZ Picerno or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Picerno = 2.56 (league 1.53), Foggia = 0.91 (league 1.10)

Foggia
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Picerno 0 3.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.9% 7.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.2% 9.3% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.7% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.4% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 11.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1