Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Comunale Alberto De Cristofaro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.55) 0.47 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 38.8% 19.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.1%
1 - 0
22.8%
0 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Giugliano 0 27.1% 12.6% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.8% 10.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.6% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGiuglianoSorrento
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack100%71%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Giugliano Sorrento
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%0%0%0%
Draws0%67%33%67%33%50%
Loses67%33%50%33%67%50%

Form: Giugliano: LDWDLL • Sorrento: DLLLDD

League goals

Metric Giugliano Sorrento
HATHAT
GF total459415
GF avg1.31.71.51.30.30.8
GA total5813538
GA avg1.72.72.21.71.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGiuglianoSorrento
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%50%67%
1.550%83%17%50%
2.50%33%17%17%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGiuglianoSorrento
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricGiuglianoSorrento
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total12

Streaks

MetricGiuglianoSorrento
Wins10
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0———
Biggest losses2-34-11-22-1
Goals For2231
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricGiuglianoSorrento
Form71%29%
Att58%42%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Giugliano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away3.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.05 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Giugliano = 0.84 (league 1.55), Sorrento = 0.47 (league 1.10)

Sorrento
0 1 2 3 4 5
Giugliano 0 27.1% 12.6% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.8% 10.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.6% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 38.8% · Away win 19.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1