Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Alberto Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.98 (league 1.53) 2.72 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.8% 10.0% 11.6%
best score tips
4 - 2
4.3%
5 - 2
4.3%
4 - 3
3.9%
Score & goals probability table
Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
2 0.6% 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
3 0.9% 2.5% 3.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.2%
4 1.2% 3.2% 4.3% 3.9% 2.7% 1.4%
5 1.2% 3.1% 4.3% 3.9% 2.6% 1.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasertanaCasarano
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack60%100%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casertana Casarano
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%25%43%50%33%43%
Draws33%25%29%50%33%43%
Loses0%50%29%0%33%14%

Form: Casertana: WLWLDDW • Casarano: DLWWWDD

League goals

Metric Casertana Casarano
HATHAT
GF total73106713
GF avg2.30.81.41.52.31.9
GA total45921012
GA avg1.31.31.30.53.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasertanaCasarano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%86%57%
1.529%43%71%43%
2.529%0%29%29%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasertanaCasarano
HATHAT
Clean sheets011303
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricCasertanaCasarano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCasertanaCasarano
Wins13
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-01-2
Biggest losses2-06-2
Goals For3133
Goals Against2226

Model comparison

MetricCasertanaCasarano
Form42%58%
Att35%65%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Casertana or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casertana = 4.98 (league 1.53), Casarano = 2.72 (league 1.10)

Casarano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casertana 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
2 0.6% 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
3 0.9% 2.5% 3.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.2%
4 1.2% 3.2% 4.3% 3.9% 2.7% 1.4%
5 1.2% 3.1% 4.3% 3.9% 2.6% 1.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 10.0% · Away win 11.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1