Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:30 • Stadio Ezio Scida
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.53) 0.95 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.2% 32.4% 35.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.9%
0 - 1
15.1%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
AZ Picerno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 15.9% 15.1% 7.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.3% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrotoneAZ Picerno
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense29%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crotone AZ Picerno
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins25%67%43%25%33%29%
Draws25%33%29%50%33%43%
Loses50%0%29%25%33%29%

Form: Crotone: LWDDWWL • AZ Picerno: DDWLLDW

League goals

Metric Crotone AZ Picerno
HATHAT
GF total39127411
GF avg0.83.01.71.81.31.6
GA total3477512
GA avg0.81.31.01.81.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrotoneAZ Picerno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%86%100%
1.557%29%71%71%
2.529%14%0%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrotoneAZ Picerno
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricCrotoneAZ Picerno
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCrotoneAZ Picerno
Wins21
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-42-11-2
Biggest losses1-21-22-0
Goals For2422
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricCrotoneAZ Picerno
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AZ Picerno

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Bet365
Draw4.03 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.86 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Crotone = 0.89 (league 1.53), AZ Picerno = 0.95 (league 1.10)

AZ Picerno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crotone 0 15.9% 15.1% 7.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.3% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.2% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 35.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1