Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Angelo Massimino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.35 (league 1.52) 0.19 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.4% 2.2% 0.3%
best score tips
4 - 0
15.9%
3 - 0
14.6%
5 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Siracusa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.9% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.8% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCataniaSiracusa
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack60%30%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catania Siracusa
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%25%43%25%0%14%
Draws33%50%43%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%14%75%100%86%

Form: Catania: WWWLDDD • Siracusa: LLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Catania Siracusa
HATHAT
GF total10313314
GF avg3.30.81.90.80.30.6
GA total0557613
GA avg0.01.30.71.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCataniaSiracusa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%29%43%100%
1.529%14%14%57%
2.529%14%0%29%
3.529%14%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCataniaSiracusa
HATHAT
Clean sheets325000
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricCataniaSiracusa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricCataniaSiracusa
Wins31
Draws00
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-12-1—
Biggest losses—4-10-33-1
Goals For6121
Goals Against0433

Model comparison

MetricCataniaSiracusa
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total69.6%30.4%

Advice: Winner : Catania

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Betano
Draw5.20 @ Unibet
Away9.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catania = 4.35 (league 1.52), Siracusa = 0.19 (league 1.10)

Siracusa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catania 0 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.9% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.8% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.4% · Draw 2.2% · Away win 0.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1