Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Arechi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.53) 0.73 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 29.2% 21.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.2%
0 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Cavese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 13.4% 9.8% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.5% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 8.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalernitanaCavese
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack90%50%
Defense30%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salernitana Cavese
HATHAT
Played437347
Wins75%67%71%0%25%14%
Draws0%33%14%33%25%29%
Loses25%0%14%67%50%57%

Form: Salernitana: WWWWWLD • Cavese: DLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Salernitana Cavese
HATHAT
GF total6612235
GF avg1.52.01.70.70.80.7
GA total4485510
GA avg1.01.31.11.71.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalernitanaCavese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%71%43%71%
1.571%29%29%57%
2.50%14%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalernitanaCavese
HATHAT
Clean sheets202022
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricSalernitanaCavese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSalernitanaCavese
Wins50
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-20-2
Biggest losses2-30-23-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricSalernitanaCavese
Form71%29%
Att64%36%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Double chance : Salernitana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away7.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salernitana = 1.28 (league 1.53), Cavese = 0.73 (league 1.10)

Cavese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 13.4% 9.8% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.5% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 8.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 21.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1